Spiga

29 Feb 2008, 2.00 pm

Highlights of Union Budget for 2008-'09 by Finance minister Mr. P. Chidambaram

  • Banking transaction tax to be withdrawn from April 2009
  • Reduce central sales tax to 2%
  • Increase in short term capital gains tax to 15%
  • 5-yr tax holiday for setting up hospitals in tier-II, tier III regions
  • Short-term capital gains increases to 15%
  • Excise duty of Rs 1.35/litre on unbranded petrol
  • Excise duty of Rs 4.6/litre on unbranded diesel
  • Commodities Transactions Tax on futures to be introduced
  • Securities Transaction Tax to be treated like deductible expenditure
  • 5-yr tax holiday to 2,3,4-star hotels in UNESCO's heritage sites
  • Pharma : Excise down from 16% to 8%
  • No FBT on creche, employee sports facilities
  • Ad Valorem duty on diesel and petrol removed
  • No change in corporate income tax rate, surcharge stays
  • Women exemption threshold extended from Rs 1,45,000 to 1,80,000
  • Income Tax exemption raised to Rs 1,50,000
  • Income Tax exemption for senior citizens raised to Rs 2,25,000
  • Anti-AIDS drugs to be exempt from excise duties
  • Refrigeration components to become cheaper
  • Cigarettes to be taxed more
  • 4 new sectors brought under service tax net
  • No change in peak rate of customs duty for non agriculture imports.
  • Tax to GDP ratio increased from 9.2 per cent in 2004-05 to 12.5 per cent 2007-08.
  • No excise duty on wireless data cards
  • Customs duty on specified life saving drugs reduced from 10% to 5%
  • Customs duty on specified sports goods machinery down from 7.5% to 5%
  • Special Countervailing Duty on power imports.
  • Excise duty on small cars cut
  • Excise duty down on 2 & 3 wheelers to 12%
  • Some sports goods raw materials exempt from duty
  • Convergence products, duty cut from 10% to 5%
  • No duty on set-top boxes
  • Custom duties to be reduced on some power projects, steel & alumninium melting scrap & some life saving drugs.
  • Duties on project imports cut to 5% from 7.5%
  • Govt needs one more year to eliminate revenue deficit
  • Rs 32,667 for food subsidies under PDS scheme
  • Rs 50 crore for the National Tiger Fund Authority, to deploy a special tiger protection force.
  • Rs 624 crore allocated for Commonwealth Games
  • Revenue deficit at 1.4% of GDP
  • Govt to set up Central Plan Scheme Monitoring system
  • One time settlement scheme for farmers
  • 6th Pay commission will meet employee expectation
  • Defence spending to increase by 10 percent
  • Govt to tap into resources of SCBs to set up funds
  • Commercial banks advised to have 250 rural accounts every year
  • Completion rate of Golden Quadrilateral project at 98.6%
  • Rs 16,436 cr allocated as equity support to public sector enterprises
  • Rs 12,970 cr allocated for National Highways
  • Govt to create national fund for power transmission & distribution
  • Rs 303 cr as debt support to PSUs
  • Implementation of debt waiver to be completed by June 2008
  • Populism in farm loan waiver, bank shares to be hit
  • Loan waiver for farmers with 1-2 hectares of land; at least 4 cr farmers to benefit from this
  • Loans for small & marginal farmers due up to 31st March 2007 have been waived; waiver amounts to 4% of total bank loans
  • Rs 20,000 cr allocated for irrigation schemes
  • Rs 16,202 cr for schemes with 30% women representation
  • Govt to set up Irrigation & Water Resources Corporations
  • Rs 70,300 cr allocated for Drinking Water Mission
  • Rs 500 cr for development of North-east
  • NREG scheme rolled out for all 596 rural districts
  • Rs 11,460 cr allocated for 100% women specific schemes
  • Allocation for Ministry of Minority Affairs raised to 1,000 cr
  • Rs 1200 cr for sanitation programme
  • Rs 195 cr for ST development programmes
  • Rs 164 cr for development of OBCs
  • Rs 804 cr for SC development programmes
  • Urban Infrastructure allocation to be 6,870 cr
  • Rs 1200 cr for sanitation programme
  • Health insurance of 30,000 to people below poverty line
  • 16 Central universities to be set up
  • National Programme for elderly with a plan outlay of Rs 400 cr
  • Total allocation for NRHM scheme to be at Rs 12,050 cr
  • Health spending to increase by 15%, allocated 16,530 cr
  • Rs 31280 cr allocated to Bharat Nirman Program
  • Proposal to set up 3 new IITs in Andhra Pradesh, Bihar & Rajasthan
  • Upgraded mid-day meal scheme to help 2.5 cr children
  • Education sector funding raised to Rs 34,400 cr
  • Agriculture sector at a disappointing 2.6%
  • Keeping inflation under control is top priority
  • There is immense pressure on domestic prices
  • International prices of Iron Ore, other metals are up
  • Growth in GDP in 2007-08 has been 8.8%
  • 8% GDP growth for 12 successive years
  • 2007-08 has been one of the most challenging years
  • Confident of maintaining 8% growth

29 Feb 2008 8.30 am

Global cue vs Budget vs Market

As expected market yesterday was in an intraday range in 5220-5300. Volatility was seen as F&O contract expiry. In the final hour of trade, market closed in green with short covering.

Major factor influencing the market today is the Union Budget for year 2008-09, going to be presented in Parliament today. All eyes of bulls and bears are looking to the magic box of Finance Minister. Expectations and inspirations will ride the market today. Another factor is the global cue. After some days of pullback rally, US indices began to correct. Dow Jones was down by 112 points yesterday. All Asian market are also in the same path today. Nikkei is down by 354 points and hangseng down more than 300 points.

The situation in front of us is confusing. How the market will react to these factors? Technically we believe that 5220 on the downside and 5368 on the upside will decide the further market direction. A breakout from this band is required well.

FIIs were heavy sellers in Capital segment on Thursday. It was for 809 crores while DIIs bought for 732 crores.

Nifty March 2008 futures were at 5271, at a discount of 14.10 points as compared to spot closing of 5285.10.

NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 61,065.26 crore, which was lower than Rs 63,256.76 crore on Wednesday, 27 February 2008.

Market breadth was negative on NSE. 509:658.

Crude oil price at NYMEX hits a new record high - $ 102.70 and closed at $ 102.59 a barrel.

Indian ADRs ended mixed.





28 Feb 2008 8.30 am

Volatility can be seen on F&O contract expiry.

Yesterday market could not find stability above 5340 and sharply resisted at 5368 which was the high value of the last upswing. On a profit taking Nifty tested the support at 5250, the crucial one. Today is F&O contract expiry for February 2008. Market may witness volatility on squaring positions. below 5250, the immediate support is expected at 5220. If it is broken once, Nifty may test the supports at 5175 or 5135. Immediate resistance is at 5300.

Global cues and Union Budget can influence the market.

US indices ended in a consolidation. Dow Jones closed with a gain of 9 points. Asian market are in a correction. Nikkei is down by 208 points in the morning session.

The Union Budget is going to be presented by Finance Minister tomorrow in the Parliament which can influence the further market direction. Stock specific actions can be seen in the line with the advantages announced by the FM.

Both FIIs and DIIs were buyers in capital segment. It was 350 crores and 341 crores respectively.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5241.05, at a discount of 27.35 points as compared to spot closing of 5268.40.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 63,256.76 crore, which was higher than Rs 56,515.69 crore on Tuesday, 26 February 2008.

Market breadth was remaining positive at NSE. 636:537

Indian ADRs at NYSE closed mixed. Crude oil is at $ 99.64 a barrel.

27 Feb 2008 8.00 am

5250 is critical for Nifty Today, Uptrend may continue

In the line with global buying support in equity markets, our market also have done a bull rally. If the market can sustain above 5250-5260 zone in Nifty, next target is 5300. After that 5340 is an another resistance level. Some profit taking can be seen at higher levels (5340-5400). Below 5250, Nifty has immediate support at 5220.

Global markets are continuing the uptrend. Dow Jones added 114 points. All Asian markets are trading in positive mood. Today morning, Nikkei is up by 191 points and Hangseng gained 600 points.

FIIS were sellers in equity market for 31 crores. DIIs bought for 511 crores.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5259.35, at a discount of 10.7 points as compared to spot closing of 5270.05.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 56,515.69 crore, which was higher than Rs 51,314.54 crore on Monday, 25 February 2008.

Market breadth was positive. NSE advances:declines is 819:355

Crude oil at NYMEX hits a record high, touched $ 101.06 and closed at $ 100.88

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26 Feb 2008, 8.30 am

Market may continue momentum with global cue

Global markets are in a pullback rally. US indices yesterday recovered a bit. Dow Jones closed with a gain of 189 points. In this morning Asian markets - Nikkei and Hangseng are trading in green zone.

Nifty may do a gap up opening today near 5260, a resistance level. If the bulls can sustain the initial gain in indices, Nifty can touch 5300. Next resistance level is 5340. 5150 and 5130 are the immediate supports for Nifty.

FIIs were heavy buyers on capital segment. Their net buying was for 786 crores while DIIs booked profit for 316 crores. Foreign inflow is necessary for the market to go up.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5203, at a premium of 2.30 points as compared to spot closing of 5200.70.

The NSE futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 51,314.54 crore, which was higher than Rs 36,386.23 crore on Friday, 22 February 2008.

Market breadth was weak yesterday. NSE advances:declines were 459:717.

Indian ADRS at NYSE closed with a gain of 2-3%

Crude oil at NYMEX is at $ 99.23 a barrel.
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25 Feb 2008 5.00 pm

Global cues are decisive

Market opened up near the resistance level of Nifty at 5140 and began to correct in the initial hours of trade. The support at 5100 was broken and went down more. At 5056, bulls action was seen and lifted the index to cross 5140 and achieved the target of of 5200 and could close there. The best contribution was from Reliance and Cement stocks. Nifty February futures closed with a premium of 3.3 points comparing to the stop closing of 5200.70. It was in a discount of 33.25 points on Friday. This is a positive sign. Next market movement will be influenced by global cues.

In the Morning, all Asian markets except China and Hangseng were closed in Green. European stocks are also in a very positive mood in the line with US and Asian markets. Today on Monday US indices are expected to open by extending their gain on Friday. Dow Jones futures rose 37 points at 5.30 am EST on Monday 25 Feb 2008.


25 Feb 2008 9.00 am

Uncertain market direction

There was no effort from the from bulls to recover the initial losses of the last trading day and in last minutes Nifty brakes the support at 5100 and managed to close at 5110. The uncertainty is remaining in market. Market is closed very near to the support level. Today as US and Asian market are in green zone, market may open in positive mood, need to sustain above 5100. Some consolidation is expected above this support level. 5140, 5200 are the immediate resistance levels.

US and Asian markets are trading in positive zone. US indices were recovering in the last hour of trade.

FIIs were sellers in capital segment for 709 crores and DIIs bought for 105 crores, according to NSE provisional data.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5077.50, at a discount of 33.25 points as compared to spot closing of 5110.75.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 36,386.23 crore, which was lower than Rs 43,409.74 crore on Thursday, 21 February 2008.

NSE market breadth was weak. 332 shares advanced and 838 shares declined.

22 Feb 2008, 8.30 am

Need to cross 5240 of Nifty

Market yesterday was volatile, but Nifty could close creating a positive attitude in the line with other Asian markets. A double bottom is created at 5116-5120 levels. So Nifty should sustain above the support and have to cross 5240 on the upside. As the global sentiments again turned weak, Nifty is likely to consolidate in 5100-5240 range today with a negative base. The medium term uptrend is depends on the strength of the support at 5100 which is tested twice in last two trading days. So 5100 should be protected at any cost...

US markets surrendered all the gain of last day. It opened in positive territory, corrected through out the day and ended with a loss of 142 points. All Asian markets are in red. Nikkei down 264 and Hangseng lost 366 points in this morning.

FIIs were buyers in capital market yesterday. They bought for 206 crores while DIIs booked profit for 140 crores in net.

Positive market breadth was there. NSE advances:declines was 699:468.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5201, at a premium of 9.20 points as compared to spot closing of 5191.80.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 43,409.74 crore, which was lower than Rs 43,987.02 crore on Wednesday, 20 February 2008.

State Bank of India, Tata Steel and Sail futures closed with a premium compared to the spot closing.

Crude oil cooled at NYMEX - $ 97.9 a barrel

Most of Indian ADRs closed in red in the line with US market sentiment.

21 Feb 2008, 5.30 pm

A double bottom is created


Nifty found a support at 5120 level creating a double bottom and recovered 80 points from the day's low. In a gap up opening today Index faced resistance at 5240 levels and fell down to test the support. Technically market should go up from here. If Nifty can find support above 5240, it will have momentum to hit 5280, 5300 levels.

Global cue will influence the further market momentum. Asian markets were extremely positive and Europeans are also tracking the cue. US indices is expected to open extending gains today. With these positive sentiments, our market was volatile but closed giving a positive sign for bulls.


21 Feb 2008, 8.30 am

Positive global cues may give some relief

Market yesterday broke the supports and closed below 5200 level. Next expected support is at 5100. As global markets are in a rebound, we may see a gap up opening today. Next resistance level of Nifty is expected at 5225 and 5270 levels.

Crude oil is highly inflammable. U.S. oil futures set an intraday record slightly above $101 a barrel. US stock market recovered yesterday on a rally in technology stocks. Dow Jones closed with a gain of 90 points. Nasdaq added 21 points. There is some expectation in further rate cut from Fed. Asian markets are also in a positive mood in the line with US sentiment in this morning. China is extending losses.

FIIs were net sellers in capital segment on 20 Feb 2008. They sold for 266 crores while DIIs bought for 256 crores.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5130, at a discount of 24.45 points as compared to spot closing of 5154.45.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 43,987.02 crore, which was higher than Rs 36,397.03 crore on Tuesday, 19 February 2008.

The market breadth was negative on NSE. 226:953

Most of Indian ADRs at NYSE closed in green.

Look back:
20 Feb 2008
19 Feb 2008
18 Feb 2008
15 Feb 2008
14 Feb 2008
13 Feb 2008

20 Feb 2008, 5.30 pm

Uptrend is badly arrested
Markets may lead to a consolidation


In the line with global cue our market also performed a correction, but Nifty could not find a foot above 5200 mark which was considered as a very crucial one. As we discussed in morning, when fell below 5200, Nifty came down to 5116 and close at 5154. It is expected that the immediate uptrend is badly arrested. If there is no support from global cue, we may see more downside or the market may lead to a consolidation phase.

When posting this report, US indices are expected to open lower today with an eye on CPI inflation data. Let us wait for a sign of investors confidence at the largest economy of the world. The Britain's FTSE index is down by 85 points now. In nust shell global sentiments are remaining weak

20 Feb 2008, 8.30 am

5200 is the crucial support for Nifty

As the market could not sustain at higher levels, profit taking was seen on later session of trade on Tuesday. Have a close watch to the 5200 level which is the most important immediate support level for keeping the overall uptrend in the broad market. If 5200 is broken once, there is a gap of 100 more points to the downside in Nifty.

US markets fall as crude oil price hit record high - $100.10 a barrel

In the final hour of trade, US indices closed in red as the crude price hits the record high on an expectation that OPEC will keep production tight. Dow Jones lost 10 points to the end of day closing. Asian markets today are also in a negative sentiment in the line with US cue. Nikkei of Japan lost 106 point sin morning session.

Foreign Institutional Investors were buyers in capital segment on Tuesday. They bought for 329 crores while domestic funds sold for 48 crores.

The market breadth was positive on NSE. 651:521 was the advances:declines ratio.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5250.25, at a discount of 30.55 points as compared to spot closing of 5280.80.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 36,397.03 crore, which was higher than Rs 32,416.67 crore on Monday, 18 February 2008.


Look back:
19 Feb 2008
18 Feb 2008
15 Feb 2008
14 Feb 2008
13 Feb 2008
12 Feb 2008

19 Feb 2008

Broad Market should continue the uptrend
5200 is an important decisive support

During the overall uptrend in the market, a corrective movement was seen yesterday. Buying at lower levels helped the National index to close above 5250 level. As the Nifty is stable above 5200, the critical support, we believe that market should go up to 5400 mark. There is also possibilities for profit taking at higher levels. Stock specific action can be seen.

Our NSEgems clients are holding momentum stocks to book profit today...

US markets were closed on Monday for Presidents day holiday. After closing our market yesterday, European markets performed a bull rally. FTSE 100 index of Brittan ended with a gain of 159 points (2.75%). In this morning, Asian peers are going good for bulls. So these positive signs from global markets can be reflected here also.

FIIs were net sellers on capital segment yesterday for 342 crores. DIIs also booked profit for 134 crores in net, according to NSE provisional data.

Market breadth was very positive. 795 shares advanced when 378 shares declined on NSE.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5280.10, came back to a premium of 3.2 points as compared to spot closing of 5276.90. The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 32,416.67 crore, which was lower than Rs 42,675.67 crore on Friday, 15 February 2008. These are favouring to bulls.

11 Feb 2008




18 Feb 2008

Next target is 5400 of Nifty.

As we expected market could find a support above 5100 on gap down opening and recovered initial losses by the strong buying support from Foreign and domestic funds on Friday. Market is likely to continue the uptrend. The major resistance is at 5400, which is tested many time and failed sustain above. Near support for the Nifty is 5250 and 5200 levels. A convincing close above 5400 can be considered as a beginning of a medium term trend reversal to upside.

On Friday, US market corrected more. But In this morning today Asian peers are trading in green zone. Nikkei was up by 174 points in morning session. Hangseng has a gain of 140 points.

NSE provisional data says that Foreign fund has began their buying in Indian markets at lower levels. FIIs net Fund inflow on Friday was for 261 crores and DIIs have also bought for 138 crores in capital segment.

NSE market breadth was very strong. 942 shares advanced when 231 shares declined.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5276.90, at a discount of 26 points as compared to spot closing of 5302.90.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 42,675.67 crore, which was higher than Rs 37,973.36 crore on Thursday, 14 February 2008.

NYMEX crude at $95.55 a barrel.

Mixed closes for a Indian ADRs at NYSE on Friday.

11 Feb 2008
8 Feb 2008



15 feb 2008

Market may move with global cue

Yesterday Indian stocks performed a strong rally adding 272 points in National Index with the strong support from global markets. Heavy short covering was seen yesterday. Fuel price hike announced by Central Government did not made much impact in the market. Index have reached another trend line resistance level. Next major resistance is at 5260. As the global markets have corrected, today we may see some correction here also. A decline upto 5170, 5100 are considered as healthy correction for the huge rally yesterday. We need to wait for long positions today.

US indices were down on Thursday. Dow jones lost 175 points. All Asian markets also in red. Nikkei was down by 200 points in morning session.

FIIs were buyer in capital segment for 60 crores and DIIs bought for 205 crores according to NSE provisional data.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5187, again fell into a discount of 15 points as compared to spot closing of 5202.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 37,973.36 crore, which was higher than Rs 37,555.25 crore on Wednesday, 13 February 2008.

NYMEX crude price is moving up, closed above $95 a barrel.

Indian ADRs closed mixed.


11 Feb 2008
8 Feb 2008

7 Feb 2008




14 Feb 2008

Markets likely to recover more

As expected, Nifty found a resistance below 5000 mark yesterday, retraced very near to flat level and finally, by the end of day it could close with a remarkable gain. Even market could not break the day's high, the closing mood was very positive. This indicates that more upside can be expected. We need a convincing close above 5000 level then for a quick move to 5090, 5170 levels. Nifty has found a short term support at 4800 which should act as a strong base for a pullback rally. Market today can be started with a gap up inspired by the global cue.

Us indieces extended gain. Dow Jones closed up by 178 point. Nasdaq was up by 53 points. All Asian markets are also in a positive mood. In this morning Nikkei on the half time was up by 634 points and hangsend gained 630 points. Global cue is very supportive for bulls...

After many days of sell pressure FIIs yesterday was net buyers. their buying was very thin for 9 crores. DIIs also bought for 23 crores, according to NSE provisonal data.

Still the market bread was remaining weak. NSE Advances:Declines was 406:766

Due to heavy short covering, Nifty February 2008 futures were at 4930, came back to a premium of 0.55 points as compared to spot closing of 4929.45.

The NSE futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 37,555.25 crore, which was higher than Rs 36,223.5 crore on Tuesday, 12 February 2008.

NYMEX crude price was up - $ 93.27 a barrel.

Most of the Indian ADRs closed with gain.

11 Feb 2008
8 Feb 2008

7 Feb 2008
6 Feb 2008

13 Feb 2008

4800 is a crucial support for Nifty

One more attempt failed to recover yesterday. Now 4800 is remaining as a critical support for National Index. Below the level, another panic situation may be created. But as the Global cues are positive our market also may perform some recovery. 4950, 4980 are the immediate resistances for Nifty. Market likely to consolidate in 4800-5000 zone for time being.

US indices yesterday recovered except Nasdaq which gave a flat closing. Dow Jones was up by 133 points. Today morning, Nikkei and Hangseng are also trading in green with a gain of 180 points and 250 points respectively.

FIIs continues selling in capital market. Their net selling was for 498 crores and DIIs bought for 351 crores. There was buying support from local funds at lower levels.

Market breadth is remaining negative as 203 shares advance and 971 shares declined on NSE.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 4783.15, at a discount of 55.10 points as compared to spot closing of 4838.25.

The NSE futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 36,223.5 crore, which was lower than Rs 41,257.27 crore on Monday, 11 February 2008.

NYMEX crude was down to $ 92.5 a barrel.

A mixed closing for Indian ADRs at NYSE.

Archives:

12 Feb 2008
11 Feb 2008
8 Feb 2008

7 Feb 2008
6 Feb 2008
5 Feb 2008

12 Feb 2008


Market ended in a bearish zone


The listing of RPOWER could not save the market confidence. After a volatile trade nifty closed with a loss of 263 points below the 200 day moving average first time since 24 July 2006. Market closed shop in a bearish zone below the 61.8% level of the fibonacci retracement. All techincal indications are bearish.


What is next?


As the market fell below 5000, the psychological level, then below 200 DMA, also below the 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement, we need to wait for a further bottom. We have to look whether the market creates a double bottom at near 4500 levels and then a pullback. But for a pullback, it is not necessary for a bouble bottom. Any factors from global markets or domestic which are favouring to bulls can lead to a recovery. But technically, a double bottom will give a strong support.


US Indices yesterday have done a recovery from losses. Dow jones closed with a gain of 57 points. But this can not be treated as a signal that the falling channel is broken. Asian markets also trading in green.

FIIs were net sellers for 1268 crores and DIIs also sold for 22 crores, as NSE provisional data.


Nifty February 2008 futures were at 4781.10, at a discount of 75.90 points as compared to spot closing of 4857.


Market breadth was very weak. NSE advances:declines were 59:1119

Archives:

11 Feb 2008

All eyes on RPOWER. 5000 of Nifty is crucial.

After the record public issue, Reliance Power is going to be listed today. All are watching with anxiety on the price of listing. When the issue starts, it was expected that 900 may be the listed price. But now the speculation in grey market points to a 550-650 range of listing. The performance of RPOWER will influence in the secondary market today. It will be an indicative for the investor's confidence.

Nifty levels of 5000, 5100 are very important. 5100 was broken yesterday but managed to close above that level. Below 5000 level, we can see some panic and unwinding of long positions from medium term investors. So, 5000 must be protected at any cost...

US markets ended mixed on Friday. Dow jones were down by 64 points while Nasdaq gained 11 points. Asian peers are in red. Nikkei -189, Hangseng -210. Global cues are not supporting much for bulls.

The selling pressure from FIIs are continuing. They were net sellers on Cash segment 797 crores when DII's net buying was for 192 crores.

Market breadth was weak. NSE Advances:Declines were 180:1000

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5070, at a sharp discount of 50.35 points as compared to spot closing of 5120.35

The NSE futures & options (F&O) segment turnover declined to Rs 39421.27 crore, as compared to Rs 40921.83 crore on Thursday, 7 February 2008.

A sharp increase in crude price at NYMEX. $ 91.8 a barrel.

Mixed closing of Indian ADRs at NYSE. Technology stocks outperformed.

Archives:

8 Feb 2008

7 Feb 2008

6 Feb 2008

5 Feb 2008

4 Feb 2008

1 Feb 2008


8 Feb 2008

5100, 5000 of Nifty - psychological levels. Uncertainty continues

With the heavy unwinding from FIIs, the market has broken the 5260 level, it came down in search of an another support on the downside. Almost all the gain in the last pullback rally is surrendered. We need to wait for some time to stabilize the market and to find a good support. 5100, 5000 are psychological levels. So fresh long positions should be taken on a strong bottom.

US markets recovered some losses, but only 46 points which is not sufficient for a satisfied pullback. In Asia Nikkei of Japan is down by 100 points in morning session.

On Thursday FIIs were heavy sellers for 860 crores while DIIs bought for 230 crores. (NSE provisional data).

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5,087.35, at a discount of 45.9 points as compared to spot closing of 5,133.25.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 40,921.83 crore, which was lower than Rs 42,234.95 crore on Wednesday, 6 February 2008.

Market breadth was weak NSE advances:declines were 222:953

Indian ADRs closed mixed on NYSE.

NYMEX crude climbed to $88.05 a barrel.


Archives:

7 Feb 2008

6 Feb 2008

5 Feb 2008

4 Feb 2008

1 Feb 2008

31 Jan 2008






7 Feb 2008

Nifty completes 61.8% correction


Expected support levels 5400 and 5370 has broken yesterday and completed the Fibonacci level 61.8% correction near 5250. On a recovery move Nifty has found resistance below 5370. Market may be in a trading zone of 5250 to 5400 for time being. Need to be cautious below 5250. Quality stocks can be bought at lower levels.

Global cues are not positive. Dow Jones added 65 points of loss yesterday. Nasdaq has fallen into a bearish zone. Nikkei of Japan has lost 104 points in Morning session.

FIIs were net sellers for 485 crores on Wednesday while DIIs were net buyers for 357 crores, according to NSE provisional data.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5280, at a discount of 42.55 points as compared to spot closing of 5322.55. The widening discount indicates some bearish sentiment.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 42,234.95 crore, which was higher than Rs 31,121.35 crore on Tuesday, 5 February 2008.

Market breadth was weak. 413 stocks advanced and 759 stocks declines on NSE.

Crude price were falling in the line with equity market, closed at $ 87.05 a barrel at NYMEX.

Archives:

6 Feb 2008

5 Feb 2008

4 Feb 2008

1 Feb 2008

31 Jan 2008




6 Feb 2008

Markets likely to test lower levels - 5400, 5370 on Nifty

Market may do some correction in the line with global cue. Our market yesterday recovered early losses and closed in a positive territory. Nifty could manage to be hold above 5400 level on its weak opening. Today we expect some profit taking. 5400 is remaining as crucial for Nifty. A correction up to 5370 will be healthy before a further up move.

US indices extended losses for second day yesterday and closed in -370 points. All Asian market are trading in red. Nikkei down more than 500 points. Hangseng opened in a gapdown of 1300 points.

According to NSE provisional data FIIs were net buyer in Indian capital market. They bought for 311 crores and DIIs sold for 135 crores.

Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5495, at a premium of 11.10 points as compared to spot closing of 5483.90.

The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 31,121.35 crore, which was lower than Rs 40,169.33 crore on Monday, 4 February 2008.

NSE Advances:Declines ratio was 750:425. Positive market breadth.

Crude price cooled down to $ 88.45 a barrel at NYMEX.

All Indian ADRs were down 4-6% on NYSE.

Archives:

5 Feb 2008

4 Feb 2008

1 Feb 2008

31 Jan 2008

30 Jan 2008

29 Jan 2008

5 Feb 2008

Profit taking can be seen

Yesterday after a strong rally, market witnessed profit taking at higher levels which can be continued today also. It is widely expected that 5400 will come as a crucial support level for further market movement. Using Fibonacci analysis, 5370 and 5260 are the other support levels. These levels can be tested on profit taking. On a correction, momentum stocks can be bought for short term trade.

US indices corrected from higher levels. Dow Jones lost 108points on Monday trade. Asian markets are also in red in the line with US cue. Both Nikkei and Hangseng are down after a bull rally.

FIIs were buyers in Indian markets on Monday for 163 crores. DIIs bought for 731 crores, accoding to NSE provisional data.

The broader CNX S&P Nifty was up 146.25 points or 2.75% at 5,463.50. Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5478, a premium of 14.50 points as compared to spot closing.

The total turnover on NSE’s futures & options segment amounted to Rs 40169.33 crore as compared to Rs 35830.69 crore on Friday, 1 February 2008.

The market breadth was positive on NSE. 1024 stocks advance while 152 nos declined.

Archives:

4 Feb 2008

1 Feb 2008

31 Jan 2008

30 Jan 2008

29 Jan 2008

28 Jan 2008



4 Feb 2008

Market heading to hurdle at 5400, the crucial

As we discussed last day, the sharp movement was to the positive side. The main hurdle is at 5400 level of Nifty. Today this level can be tested and may be able find stability above the resistance level. Then it can go up to 5525, then 5638 levels. But on every rise in the market, also profit taking can be seen.

Global cues are strong. US indices extended their gain. Dow Jones closed at 12743.19 (+92.83). Asian markets also in green. Nikkei is up by 335 points and Hangseng has gain of 900 points in this morning. So we expect our markets should also go in the line.

NSE provisional data says that FIIs and DIIs were net sellers in cash segment on Friday. FIIs' net selling was 126 crores and DIIs' net selling was 115 crores.

Crude oil price came down to $ 89.10 a barrel.

Most of the Indian ADRs ended in green on Friday at NYSE

NSE market breadth was slightly negative. 557 shares advanced while 606 shares declined on Friday

Archives:

1 Feb 2008

31 Jan 2008

30 Jan 2008

29 Jan 2008

28 Jan 2008

25 Jan 2008





1 Feb 2008

A new hurdle at 5250 for Nifty, 5070 is critical

As we predicted yesterday, Nifty tested the support of 5070 during the last day's trade. A new resistance level is created at 5250. These support and resistance are very crucial for the market today. Nifty have short term supports at 5070 and 5000 levels. We expect that today Nifty can test the resistance at 5250 and if it could close above that level, a rally can be seen upto 5400.

Technically in hourly chart Bollinger bands indicates the volatility is gradually cooling down as the bands are converging. So a sharp movement can be expected to south or north. Any such movement will decide the short term market direction.

Global cue in this morning is giving positive sign. US indices closed in gain. Dow Jones recovered 200 points again. Asin peers except Nikkei of Japan (-84) are trading in green. So our market should also move in the line.

Accorning to NSE provisional data FIIs were heavy sellers on Thursday. Their net selling was for 3938 crores of rupees while domestic funds bought for 2160 crores.

Market breadth was weak. NSE A:D was 407:761.

Total turnover in NSE’s futures & options surged to Rs 78768.81 crore as compared to Rs 57973.91 crore on 30 January 2008.

Indian ADRs closed mixed in NYSE.

NYMEX crude price at $ 91.75 a barrel.

Archives:

31 Jan 2008

30 Jan 2008

29 Jan 2008

28 Jan 2008

25 Jan 2008

24 Jan 2008